False Breakout Patterns??假突破模式

False-breakouts are exactly what they sound like: a breakout that failed to continue beyond a level, resulting in a ‘false’ breakout of that level. False breakout patterns are one of the most important?price action trading patterns?to learn, because a false-break is often a very strong clue that price might be changing direction or that a trend might be resuming soon. A false-break of a level can be thought of as a ‘deception’ by the market, because it looks like price will breakout but then it quickly reverses, deceiving all those who took the ‘bait’ of the breakout. It’s often the case that amateurs will enter what looks like an ‘obvious’ breakout and then the professional’s will push the market back the other way
假突破正是它們聽起來(lái)的樣子：未能持續(xù)超過(guò)某個(gè)水平的突破，導(dǎo)致該水平的“假”突破。假突破模式是需要學(xué)習(xí)的最重要的價(jià)格行為交易模式之一，因?yàn)榧偻黄仆ǔＪ莾r(jià)格可能正在改變方向或趨勢(shì)可能很快恢復(fù)的非常有力的線索。一個(gè)水平的假突破可以被市場(chǎng)認(rèn)為是“欺騙”，因?yàn)榭雌饋?lái)價(jià)格會(huì)突破，但隨后它會(huì)迅速反轉(zhuǎn)，欺騙了所有上了突破“誘餌”的人。通常情況下，業(yè)余愛(ài)好者會(huì)進(jìn)入看起來(lái)“明顯”的突破，然后專業(yè)人士會(huì)將市場(chǎng)推向相反的方向

As a price action trader, you want to learn how to use false breakouts to your advantage, rather than falling victim to them.
作為價(jià)格行為交易者，您想學(xué)習(xí)如何利用虛假突破來(lái)發(fā)揮自己的優(yōu)勢(shì)，而不是成為它們的受害者。

Here are two clear examples of false breakouts above and below key levels. Note that false breakouts can take different forms. Sometimes a false break will occur with a?pin bar pattern?or a?fakey pattern?as the false break, and sometime not:
以下是關(guān)鍵水平上方和下方的假突破的兩個(gè)明顯示例。請(qǐng)注意，假突破可以采用不同的形式。有時(shí)，pin bar 模式或?fakey 模式會(huì)發(fā)生假中斷作為假中斷，有時(shí)則不會(huì)：

A false breakout is essentially a ‘contrarian’ move in the market that ‘flushes’ out those traders who may have entered on emotion, rather than logic and forward thinking.
虛假突破本質(zhì)上是市場(chǎng)上的“逆向”走勢(shì)，它“淘汰”了那些可能憑情緒而不是邏輯和前瞻性思維進(jìn)入的交易者。

Generally speaking, a false-break is happens because amateur traders or those with ‘weak hands’ in the market will tend to enter the market only when it ‘feels safe’ to do so. This means, they tend to enter when a market is already quite extended in one direction (and it’s about ready to retrace) or they try to ‘predict’ a breakout from a?key support or resistance level?too early. Professional traders watch for these missteps by the amateurs, and the end result is a very good entry for them with a tight stop loss and huge risk reward potential.
一般來(lái)說(shuō)，假突破的發(fā)生是因?yàn)闃I(yè)余交易者或那些在市場(chǎng)上“手弱”的人往往只有在“感覺(jué)安全”的情況下才會(huì)進(jìn)入市場(chǎng)。這意味著，他們傾向于在市場(chǎng)已經(jīng)向一個(gè)方向延伸（并且即將準(zhǔn)備回撤）時(shí)入場(chǎng)，或者他們?cè)噲D過(guò)早地“預(yù)測(cè)”從關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位突破。專業(yè)交易員會(huì)注意業(yè)余愛(ài)好者的這些失誤，最終結(jié)果對(duì)他們來(lái)說(shuō)是一個(gè)非常好的入場(chǎng)點(diǎn)，具有嚴(yán)格的止損和巨大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回報(bào)潛力。

It takes discipline and a bit of ‘gut feel’ to know when a false-break is likely to occur, and you can never really know ‘for sure’ until after one has formed. The important thing, is to know what they look like and how to trade them, which we will discuss next…
需要紀(jì)律和一點(diǎn) “直覺(jué) ”才能知道什么時(shí)候可能會(huì)發(fā)生假中斷，而且在假中斷形成之前，你永遠(yuǎn)無(wú)法真正 “確定 ”知道。重要的是了解它們的外觀以及如何交易它們，我們接下來(lái)將討論……

How to trade false breakout patterns
如何交易虛假突破形態(tài)

False breaks occur in all market conditions; trending, consolidating, counter-trend, but perhaps the best way to trade them is in-line with a dominant daily chart trend, like we see in the chart below.
假突破在所有市場(chǎng)條件下都會(huì)發(fā)生;趨勢(shì)、盤整、逆趨勢(shì)，但也許最好的交易方式是與占主導(dǎo)地位的日線圖趨勢(shì)保持一致，就像我們?cè)谙聢D中看到的那樣。

Note, in the chart below, we had a clear downtrend in place and multiple false breakouts to the upside within that trend. When you see a false breakout that is against a dominant trend like this, it’s usually a very good signal that the trend is ready to resume. Amateur traders love to try and pick the bottom in a downtrend or the top in an uptrend, and this can cause false breakouts against the trend like we see below. On each of these false-breaks in the chart below, it was likely that amateur traders thought the downtrend was over and so they started buying, once this buying started the professionals came back in and took advantage of the temporary strength within the down-trending market and entered short from value, and then the downtrend resumed, flushing out all those amateur traders who tried picking the bottom.
請(qǐng)注意，在下圖中，我們有一個(gè)明顯的下降趨勢(shì)，并在該趨勢(shì)中多次出現(xiàn)虛假的上行突破。當(dāng)您看到與這樣的主導(dǎo)趨勢(shì)相反的虛假突破時(shí)，這通常是一個(gè)非常好的信號(hào)，表明趨勢(shì)已準(zhǔn)備好恢復(fù)。業(yè)余交易者喜歡嘗試在下降趨勢(shì)中選擇底部或在上升趨勢(shì)中選擇頂部，這可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致與趨勢(shì)相反的錯(cuò)誤突破，如下所示。在下圖中的每一個(gè)這些錯(cuò)誤突破中，業(yè)余交易者很可能認(rèn)為下降趨勢(shì)已經(jīng)結(jié)束，因此他們開始買入，一旦這種購(gòu)買開始，專業(yè)人士就會(huì)回來(lái)并利用下降趨勢(shì)中的臨時(shí)力量，從價(jià)值中進(jìn)入空頭，然后下降趨勢(shì)恢復(fù)，淘汰了所有試圖選擇底部的業(yè)余交易者。

The chart below shows examples of false breakouts within a down-trending market. Note that each one led to a resumption of the trend…
下圖顯示了下跌趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)中的假突破示例。請(qǐng)注意，每一次都導(dǎo)致了趨勢(shì)的恢復(fù)……

False-breaks are prevalent in trading ranges because traders often try to pick the breakout of the range but usually price stays range-bound for longer than most assume. Knowing that false-breaks are somewhat common when a market is struck in a trading range is a very valuable piece of information for a price action trader.
假突破在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)很普遍，因?yàn)榻灰讍T經(jīng)常試圖選擇突破區(qū)間，但通常價(jià)格在區(qū)間內(nèi)波動(dòng)的時(shí)間比大多數(shù)人假設(shè)的要長(zhǎng)。知道當(dāng)市場(chǎng)在交易區(qū)間內(nèi)被觸發(fā)時(shí)，假突破有些常見，這對(duì)價(jià)格行為交易者來(lái)說(shuō)是一個(gè)非常有價(jià)值的信息。

Trading a range-bound market can be very lucrative as you can wait for price action signals at the support or resistance boundary of the range to trade back toward the other side of the range.
在區(qū)間震蕩的市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行交易可能非常有利可圖，因?yàn)槟梢缘却齾^(qū)間支撐或阻力邊界的價(jià)格行動(dòng)信號(hào)，然后交易回區(qū)間的另一側(cè)。

The best way to be sure you don’t get caught in a false-breakout from a trading range is to simply wait for price to close outside of the range for two days or more. If this happens, there’s a good chance the range is finished and price is then going to start trending again.
確保您不會(huì)陷入交易區(qū)間錯(cuò)誤突破的最佳方法是等待價(jià)格收盤價(jià)超出區(qū)間兩天或更長(zhǎng)時(shí)間。如果發(fā)生這種情況，則很有可能該范圍已完成，然后價(jià)格將再次開始趨勢(shì)。

In the chart below, we can see how a price action trader can use a?false breakout?pin bar signal to trade a false breakout of a trading range. Note the false break pin bar at the trading range key resistance, and also note the two false-breaks at the trading range’s support. More experienced traders can also trade false breakouts that don’t contain a price action trigger like a pin bar. The two false-breaks of support in the chart below were both potential buy signals for a savvy price action trader…
在下圖中，我們可以看到價(jià)格行為交易者如何使用虛假的突破?pin bar 信號(hào)來(lái)交易交易區(qū)間的虛假突破。請(qǐng)注意交易區(qū)間關(guān)鍵阻力位處的假突破 pin 條，并注意交易區(qū)間支撐處的兩個(gè)假突破。更有經(jīng)驗(yàn)的交易者也可以交易不包含價(jià)格行為觸發(fā)器（如針桿）的虛假突破。下圖中的兩個(gè)虛假支撐突破都是精明的價(jià)格行為交易者的潛在買入信號(hào)……

False breakout patterns can sometimes signal the beginning of a new trend, and the end of the current one.
虛假的突破形態(tài)有時(shí)可能預(yù)示著新趨勢(shì)的開始和當(dāng)前趨勢(shì)的結(jié)束。

In the chart example below, we can see a key resistance level that held price on two tests, then on the third test, price created a large false-break pin bar strategy that signaled a potential down move was coming.
在下面的圖表示例中，我們可以看到一個(gè)關(guān)鍵阻力位，該阻力位在兩次測(cè)試中保持價(jià)格，然后在第三次測(cè)試中，價(jià)格創(chuàng)建了一個(gè)大型假突破 pin bar 策略，表明潛在的下跌趨勢(shì)即將到來(lái)。

As we can see in this chart, not only did the false breakout signal a down move, but it kicked off an entire downtrend…
正如我們?cè)谶@張圖表中看到的，虛假突破不僅預(yù)示著下跌，而且還拉開了整個(gè)下跌趨勢(shì)的序幕……

False Breakout Pattern Trading Tips
假突破模式交易技巧

• False breakouts occur in trending markets, range-bound markets and against the trend. Watch for them in all market conditions as they often give strong clues as to impending market direction.
  假突破發(fā)生在趨勢(shì)市場(chǎng)、區(qū)間波動(dòng)市場(chǎng)和逆勢(shì)市場(chǎng)。在所有市場(chǎng)條件下密切關(guān)注它們，因?yàn)樗鼈兺ǔ?huì)為即將到來(lái)的市場(chǎng)方向提供強(qiáng)有力的線索。
• Trading counter-trend is difficult, but one of the ‘best’ ways to trade against a trend is to wait for a clear false breakout signal against a trend from a key support or resistance levels, as shown in the last example above.
  逆勢(shì)交易很困難，但逆勢(shì)交易的“最佳”方法之一是等待來(lái)自關(guān)鍵支撐位或阻力位的明顯虛假突破信號(hào)，如上面的最后一個(gè)例子所示。
• False-breakouts give us a ‘window’ into the ‘battle’ between amateur and professional traders, hence, they give us a way to trade with the professionals. Learn to identify and trade false breakout patterns and trading will take on a different light for you.
  假突破為我們提供了一個(gè)了解業(yè)余交易者和專業(yè)交易者之間“戰(zhàn)斗”的“窗口”，因此，它們?yōu)槲覀兲峁┝艘环N與專業(yè)人士進(jìn)行交易的方式。學(xué)會(huì)識(shí)別和交易虛假的突破模式，交易將為您帶來(lái)不同的光芒。